UFC on ESPN 8 breakdown: Is Walt Harris right to be favored vs. Alistair Overeem?

MMA Junkie fight analyst Dan Tom takes a closer look at the UFC on ESPN 8 main event between Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris.

Point of interest: Odds and opinions

The oddsmakers and public are currently siding with the southpaw, listing Harris -145 and Overeem +125 as of this writing.

Despite the fact that we’re all not-so-secretly rooting for Harris to have a good showing given all that he and his family have been through, it’s hard to disagree with the betting spread above.

Overeem has an undeniable edge on the floor and overall from a technical and experience standpoint. However, if he is not finishing the fight, history has proven that – regardless of whether or not he is winning rounds – Overeem’s chin remains the common culprit for him coming up short.

I don’t mean to disrespect Overeem or his chances here with that statement, mind you; it’s just hard to favor him against one of the most dangerous southpaw strikers that the heavyweight division as to offer if he shows similar entries to his last outing. For that reason, I’ll side with Harris to land his left cross late in the first round for a clean knockout win.

Prediction: Harris inside the distance

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