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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Steve Garcia and SeungWoo Choi meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 60 — also known as UFC Vegas 94 — at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 60: Garcia vs. Choi odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin 5:30 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.
Records: Garcia (15-5-0) | Choi (11-6-0)
Garcia, a.k.a. “Mean Machine,” heads into this bout with 3 consecutive KO/TKO victories since a loss June 2022 against Maheshate at UFC 275. He definitely hasn’t gone the longest yard lately, last going the distance in a unanimous-decision loss against Luis Pena in his company debut Feb. 29, 2020.
Garcia has back-to-back Round 2 wins over Melquizael Costa and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, with a Round 1 knockout of Chase Hooper before that. The southpaw is a punching machine, recording 4.85 significant strikes landed per minute, while accurately landing those fights at a 64.23% rate.
Choi snapped a 3-bout loss with a unanimous-decision victory over Jarno Errens last time out 11 months ago. Before that, Choi lost via KO/TKO to Michael Trizano, via split-decision to Josh Culibao at UFC 275, and via submission to Alex Caceres. The fact he has lost in a multitude of ways is not good news facing a hard-hitting opponent in Garcia.
Choi has managed 3.48 significant strikes per minute, while landing just 50.53% of those strikes. He also has a slight disadvantage in takedown average at 0.87, to a 1.31 mark for Garcia.
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UFC on ESPN 60: Garcia vs. Choi odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Garcia -154 (bet $154 to win $100) | Choi +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +144 | Under -186)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +360 | No -600)
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UFC on ESPN 60: Garcia vs. Choi picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
GARCIA (-154) is a solid play at a moderate favorite, as he can win a number of ways, especially via knockout.
On the flip side, Choi (+130) has struggled with consistency and defense lately. He just doesn’t match up well with Garcia, who has been a knockout king in recent matches. While Choi likely doesn’t want to go toe-to-toe in a brawl, going to the mat isn’t his specialty, either. In fact, he is 0-2 via submission in his pro career.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-600): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you 6 times your potential return, which is way too expensive. Instead, let’s get a little more specific.
Garcia hasn’t needed the help of the judges since his UFC debut in Feb. 2020. In fact, he hasn’t been past the midway point of Round 2 in each of the previous 5 outings.
However, instead of playing No on the distance, instead, take a look at Method of Victory, and back GARCIA BY KO/TKO (+130) at plus-money, which is a shockingly good value.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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