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In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Drew Dober and Jean Silva meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 59 at Ball Arena in Denver. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 59: Dober vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.
Records: Dober (27-13-0) | Silva (13-2-0)
The veteran Dober is coming off a unanimous-decision loss against Renato Moicano in early February. Going the distance was a rarity, as his previous 5 fights had been decided via KO/TKO, with 4 wins and 1 loss. The last time he went the distance was against Brad Riddell at UFC 263 in June 2021.
Silva has made 2 appearances at the UFC level, both victories via KO/TKO against Westin Wilson and Charles Jourdain. He stopped Jourdain in Round 2 at UFC 303 last time out June 29. His last professional loss came April 21, 2018 at San Jose Super Fight Qualifying: SJSF in a unanimous-decision setback against Gabriel Schlupp de Lima.
The southpaw Dober has a slight 1-inch reach advantage, while Silva has a 5.71-to-4.34 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Silva is more accurate at 54.44% to 45.80% for Dober, too.
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UFC on ESPN 59: Dober vs. Silva odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dober -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Silva -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under +105)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +230 | No -350)
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UFC on ESPN 59: Dober vs. Silva picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
SILVA (-115) is the up-and-comer who is rising quickly, while Dober (-105) is the veteran at 35 years old with a lot of mileage on his tires.
The Elevation Fight Team member Dober has averaged about 2 fights per year since March 2022, going 4-2 with 4 KO/TKO wins in the span. The fights generally do not go very long. Silva has 2 knockouts in 2 UFC fights, and he’ll be eager to engage Dober early in a brawl.
For method of victory, SILVA BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+175) on the method of victory 7-way line is a solid value.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-135) is the lean, but go lightly on this particular play.
Dober has been past the halfway mark of Round 2 in 3 of his past 5 fights, with 2 of those bouts ending in Round 1.
Each of Silva’s fights have ended before the midway point of Round 2, but this is a big step up in competition, and it will be tougher for Silva to get Dober finished off early.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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