In a welterweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Niklas Stolze and Jared Gooden meet at UFC on ESPN 28 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 28 Stolze vs. Gooden odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims start at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card starting at 9 p.m. ET.
Stolze is looking to bounce back after a unanimous decision loss July 25, 2020, to Ramazan Emeev in his UFC debut. He has gone the distance in each of his last two pro fights but finished inside the distance in three of the last five with a TKO and two rear-naked choke submission victories.
Gooden is also looking to get back on track after a loss. He has two straight unanimous decision setbacks, against Abubakar Nurmagomedov and Alan Jouban. He’s 0-for-2 at the UFC level, so someone is going to get their arm raised for the first time with the promotion barring a draw.
UFC on ESPN 28: Stolze vs. Gooden: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Stolze -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Gooden +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -165 | Under +135)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -160 | No +130)
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UFC on ESPN 28 Stolze vs. Gooden: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Stolze 12-4-0 | Gooden 17-6-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Stolze is a little on the expensive side here as you need to risk two times your potential return, but I am feeling the German fighter in this one as he has shown he has the ability to win in a multitude of ways.
Playing STOLZE ON POINTS (+130) is a strong play. I considered Stolze on the 5-way line with a chance to triple up but these fighters should be able to take it the distance.
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Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-160): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the safe play in this one, with OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-165) not out of line at this price if you would like a little bit of wiggle room in the event of a late Round 3 finish.
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