In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Rodolfo Vieira and Dustin Stoltzfus meet at UFC on ESPN 26 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 26 Vieira vs. Stoltzfus odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET.
Vieira heads into this fight with a 2-1 mark since arriving at the UFC level, and all three of his bouts have ended via submission. His last fight was a second-round submission loss February 13 to Anthony Hernandez at UFC 258. Seven of his eight pro fights have ended via submission, with six of them wins, and the other also finished inside the distance with a TKO victory.
Stoltzfus made his company debut November 21, 2020, at UFC 255 where he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Kyle Daukaus. It was a rare occurrence to go to the judges as his previous five fights had finished inside the distance.
UFC on ESPN 26 Vieira vs. Stoltzfus: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Vieira -215 (bet $215 to win $100) | Stoltzfus +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -225)
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UFC on ESPN 26 Vieira vs. Stoltzfus: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Vieira 7-1-0 | Stoltzfus 13-2-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Vieira (-215) is a beast, and his fights usually end early; but, risking more than two times your potential return is risky business, especially since Stoltzfus is a tough customer.
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Over/Under (O/U)
The better play is to roll with VIEIRA BY SUBMISSION (+100) on the 7-way line. Seven of his eight career professional bouts have ended via submission, including each of his three fights at the UFC level.
If you want a little bit of wiggle room, in the event Vieira wins by knockout, take VIEIRA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-115) on the 5-way line.
In addition, UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-185) is expensive, but a good play. Under 1.5 Rounds (-110) is much riskier and not as sure of a thing.
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