In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Aleksei Oleinik and Serghei Spivac meet at UFC on ESPN 25 at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 25 Oleinik vs. Spivac odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 4 p.m. ET, with the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET.
The veteran Oleinik heads into this one with a 20-pound disparity, but a two-inch reach advantage. He will try to get Spivac to the mat as quickly as possible as he holds a 2.38-to-0.31 submission average advantage.
Spivac posted a second-round KO/TKO over Jared Vanderaa last time out on Feb. 20, 2021. He has won two straight, and three of five, since arriving at the UFC level.
UFC on ESPN 25 Aleksei Oleinik vs. Serghei Spivac: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Aleksei Oleinik +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Serghei Spivac -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +140 | Under -165)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +400 | No -555)
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UFC on ESPN 25 Aleksei Oleinik vs. Serghei Spivac: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Oleinik 59-15-1 | Spivac 12-2-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The Moldovan fighter Spivac (-235) is a little too expensive for my tastes, costing more than two times your potential return. That’s not a good play against a veteran like OLEINIK (+190), who is a much better play.
The veteran Oleinik comes in on a two-bout losing streak, and he has never lost three fights in a row in 75 career professional bouts. It’s not going to start now, either.
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Over/Under (O/U)
The 43-year-old Oleinik is a freak of nature who just continues to show up and cash checks. “The Boa Constrictor” has won 46 times via submission in his career, and that makes OLEINIK BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+240) quite an attractive play. That’s a better play than going with Under 2.5 Rounds (-400), which is just too expensive, or No (-555): Will the fight go the distance?, which is even steeper.
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