UFC on ESPN 16 predictions: Holly Holm is the favorite – but do we like Irene Aldana?

Check out our staff members’ picks for the UFC on ESPN 16 main card on “Fight Island” in Abu Dhabi.

Holm
vs.
Aldana
De Castro
vs.
Felipe
De Randamie
vs.
Pena
Todorovic
vs.
Townsend
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
2020: 106-68
holm2020
Holm
(56%)
decastro2020
De Castro
(73%)
derandamie2020
De Randamie
(58%)
todorovic2020
Todorovic
(75%)
Nolan King
@mma_kings
2020: 117-57
aldana2020
Aldana
carlos2020
Felipe
pena2020
Pena
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
2020: 116-58
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
pena2020
Pena
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Dan Tom
@DanTomMMA
2020: 116-58
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
2020: 114-60
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Simon Head
@simonhead
2020: 113-61
trophy copy 2019 Champion*
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
pena2020
Pena
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Dave Doyle
@davedoylemma
2020: 113-61
holm2020
Holm
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
2020: 113-61
trophy copy 2017 Champion
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
2020: 110-64
trophy copy 2014 Champion
holm2020
Holm
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
2020: 109-65
aldana2020
Aldana
carlos2020
Felipe
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
2020: 107-67
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
pena2020
Pena
todorovic2020
Todorovic
John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
2020: 106-68
aldana2020
Aldana
decastro2020
De Castro
pena2020
Pena
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
2020: 105-69
trophy copy 2018 Champion
holm2020
Holm
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
2020: 103-71
holm2020
Holm
decastro2020
De Castro
derandamie2020
De Randamie
todorovic2020
Todorovic
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
2020: 73-101
aldana2020
Aldana
carlos2020
Felipe
derandamie2020
De Randamie
townsend2020
Townsend

(Note: The fight between Cameron Else and Kyler Phillips was added to the main card too late for our picks deadline.)

The UFC has its second of five straight “Fight Island” shows Saturday, and a former champion is atop the card.

UFC on ESPN 16 takes place Saturday at Flash Forum at Yas Island in Abu Dhabi. The main card airs on ESPN and streams on ESPN+ following prelims on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, former women’s bantamweight champion [autotag]Holly Holm[/autotag] (13-5 MMA, 6-5 UFC) takes on [autotag]Irene Aldana[/autotag] (12-5 MMA, 5-3 UFC). Holm is just a slight favorite in the fight at -125, but our 14 editors, writers, videographers and radio hosts are siding with Aldana at a 10-4 clip.

In the co-feature, [autotag]Yorgan De Castro[/autotag] (6-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC) meets [autotag]Carlos Felipe[/autotag] (8-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC) in a heavyweight bout. De Castro is a heavy favorite, and he’s got a big 11-3 picks lead.

Also on the main card, former women’s featherweight champ [autotag]Germaine de Randamie[/autotag] (9-4 MMA, 6-2 UFC) takes on [autotag]Julianna Pena[/autotag] (9-3 MMA, 5-1 UFC). Pena is a slight favorite, but it’s de Randamie with a fairly sizable 9-5 picks lead.

And [autotag]Dusko Todorovic[/autotag] (9-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC) is the main card’s heaviest favorite in his middleweight bout against [autotag]Dequan Townsend[/autotag] (21-11 MMA, 0-3 UFC). Only one of our pickers is going with Townsend in an upset.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Holm (56 percent), De Castro (73 percent), de Randamie (58 percent) and Todorovic (75 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

[vertical-gallery id=556511]