UFC action returns Saturday, as Mariya Agapova and Shana Dobson lock horns in a women’s flyweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 15 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8:30 p.m. ET.
Kazakhstan’s Agapova (9-1) burst onto the scene in her UFC debut, submitting Hannah Cifers at 2:42 of the first round on the Eye-Calvillo card on June 13. She has won nine of her 10 fights as a professional, only falling to Tracy Cortez by unanimous decision at Dana White’s Contender Series in Season 3, Week 6 (July, 2019). She rebounded with three consecutive Round 1 victories, and now she faces Dobson, looking for a fourth straight finish inside the distance.
Dobson (3-4) made her UFC debut on April 14, 2018, falling by unanimous decision to Lauren Mueller. It’s gone from bad to worse, as she also lost by unanimous decision to Sabina Mazo on the UFC 241 card before getting knocked out in 40 seconds against Priscila Cachoeira on Feb. 22. Dobson might be in danger of falling out of the UFC with another loss, and she is well expected to suffer a fourth consecutive setback.
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Mariya Agapova vs. Shana Dobson betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:25 p.m. ET.
Agapova (-1429) is an overwhelming favorite, perhaps the heaviest in recent memory on the women’s side of the ledger. You cannot justify wagering such a giant amount for such a potential tiny return. Dobson (+800) isn’t the play, either, as she is coming off a three-bout losing streak.
You’ll have to get creative to make a little money in this one. Target AGAPOVA TO WIN VIA SUBMISSION (+300) on the 7-way line, as that pays nicely if it comes through. Maybe, roll with AGAPOVA BY KO/TKO or DQ (-130), too, as a hedge. If you’re willing to pay the juice, definitely go with UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-278). Dobson doesn’t stand a chance, and it will be over quickly.
To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.
Also see:
- Agapova ‘glad’ to represent Kazakhstan (MMA Junkie)
- UFC on ESPN 15 predictions (MMA Junkie)
- MMA Junkie – The latest UFC/MMA coverage
If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.
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