In a middleweight bout in Saturday’s main event, Marvin Vettori and Kevin Holland meet at UFC on ABC 2 – also known as UFC Vegas 23 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 11:30 a.m. ET on ESPN+, the prelims start at noon ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card begins at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+. Below, we analyze the UFC on ABC 2 Vettori vs. Holland odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ABC 2 Vettori vs. Holland Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:51 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Vettori -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Holland +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over +110 | Under -135)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +145 | No -175)
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UFC on ABC 2 Vettori vs. Holland: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Vettori 16-4-1 | Holland 21-6
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
HOLLAND (+275) checks into this one as a decisive underdog despite some physical advantages. He stands 3 inches taller than his foe, and he holds a staggering 7-inch reach advantage over Vettori.
Vettori has won four straight fights, including a unanimous-decision win last time out over Jack Hermansson in the main event Dec. 5, 2020.
Holland is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss to Derek Brunson in the Fight Night main event March 20, 2021. Holland has the quick turnaround, taking this fight on short notice with Darren Till bowing out of his bout with Vettori due to a broken collarbone.
Holland is a tremendous value, and he is just two fights removed from a Round 1 KO/TKO over Jacare Souza at UFC 256. He is 5-1 across his past six fights, and he’ll pull the stunner in the main event.
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Over/Under (O/U)
While four of Holland’s past six fights have been stoppages, seven of the past eight fights for Vettori have ended up going the distance. While Holland is on short rest, OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (+110) is a good play based upon Vettori’s recent history. OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-145) also gives you a few more minutes of wiggle room, but it will cost more.
I have a feeling this one is going to go the distance, and YES (+145): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a good play. In addition, HOLLAND ON POINTS (+900) is worth a small-unit bet. I think he’ll pull the upset despite the fact he is taking this fight on short notice. Vettori is just not a flashy fighter who gets quick finishes, and Holland will hang around long enough to wow the judges.
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