UFC Fight Night: Jack Hermansson vs. Sean Strickland odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 200 odds and lines between Jack Hermansson vs. Sean Strickland, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight title fight in the main event, Jack Hermansson and Sean Strickland meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 200 – also known as UFC Vegas 47 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The bout can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 4 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Hermansson picked up a unanimous-decision victory last time out in late May against Edmen Shahbazyan, bouncing back after a UD loss against Marvin Vettori Dec. 5, 2020. Three of his last five fights have gone the distance. The rear-naked choke is his specialty and he has three submission wins in his last seven UFC fights.

Strickland has rattled off five straight victories to help him climb the rungs in the middleweight division. Three of his last four fights have gone the distance, with a KO/TKO win in Round 2 against Brendan Allen Nov. 14, 2020, as the only stoppage during the span.

UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs. Strickland: Odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Hermansson +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Strickland -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -125)

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UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs. Strickland: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Hermansson (22-6-0) | Strickland (24-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Strickland (-230) is a little too expensive to play straight up, costing you almost two and a half times your potential return.

Instead, look to the Method of Victory and play STRICKLAND BY POINTS (+185) for a much better value. Strickland has gone the distance frequently and Hermansson also has required the judges to get involved in three of his last five fights overall.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing YES (-110): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a strong play, as Strickland has gone the distance in three of his last four fights and in nine of his last 13 bouts.

Strickland has an 82% takedown defense that he’ll use to stay upright and force Hermansson to contend with him in a toe-to-toe bout rather than go to the mat where the underdog is dangerous. We should see a lot of punches, but no knockouts.

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