In a women’s bantamweight bout in the main event, Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 — also known as UFC on ESPN 49 and UFC Vegas 77 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: Holm vs. Bueno Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET and the main card is on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
Records: Holm (15-6-0) | Bueno Silva (10-2-1)
Holm is the former title holder in the division after famously dropping Ronda Rousey at UFC 193 in 2015. However, she failed to defend her title in a loss to Miesha Tate at UFC 195 in 2016 and has since had 3 shots at the title and lost each of them. She is still a dominant force in the division, and “The Preacher’s Daughter” has managed wins in 3 of the past 4 bouts, all via Unanimous Decision.
The 41-year-old veteran has gone to the judges in 6 of the past 7 fights overall, with the lone stoppage coming in a 1st-round KO/TKO loss against Amanda Nunes for the title at UFC 239 in July 2019.
The southpaw Holm has a 2.5-inch reach advantage, and she has a 0.92-to-0.38 takedown average advantage. Bueno Silva has managed 4.20 significant strikes landed per minute to just 3.17 for Holm. MBS is also much more accurate, posting a 62.23% significant strike accuracy percentage to just 49.51% for Holm.
The 31-year-old Brazilian fighter has won 3 straight fights, including submission wins in each of the past 2 bouts against Lina Lansberg and Stephanie Egger.
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UFC Fight Night 224: Holm vs. Bueno Silva odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Holm -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Bueno Silva +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +155)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -185 | No +140)
UFC Fight Night 224: Holm vs. Bueno Silva picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
The younger BUENO SILVA (+145) is a strong value as a moderate underdog. While Holm has won 3 of her last 4 fights, she suffered a split-decision fight against Ketlen Vieira in May 2022.
While Holm has the reach advantage, Bueno Silva is quicker and is a punching machine. MBS has won 3 straight fights, including 2 straight submission victories.
Over/Under (O/U)
The one thing Holm seems to be able to do is avoid the knockout. Win or lose, the former champ’s bouts seem to involve the judges more often than not.
However, Yes (-185): Will the fight go the distance? is still a little expensive for my blood. Over 4.5 Rounds (-210) is an even worse value.
Instead, consider BUENO SILVA (+400) ON POINTS in the round betting, if you’re a little more on the adventurous side.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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