In a light heavyweight bout in the main event, Nikita Krylov takes on Ryan Spann Saturday at UFC Fight Night 220 — also known as UFC Vegas 70 — at UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 220: Krylov vs. Spann odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN+ starting at 4:30 p.m. ET with the main card on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.
Krylov has registered a pair of victories since his most recent loss in March 2022. He rebounded from the 1st-round submission loss to Paul Craig with a 1st-round KO/TKO against Alexander Gustafsson in July and earned a unanimous-decision victory against Volkan Oezdemir at UFC 280 in October.
Spann is in a similar boat, posting 2 straight wins after a 1st-round submission loss against Anthony Smith in Sept. 2021. He submitted Ion Cutelaba in May 2022 and knocked out Dominick Reyes at UFC 281 in November. Each of his last 5 fights has ended via 1st-round stoppage, with a pair of knockout wins and a submission victory, while losing once via each method.
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UFC Fight Night 220: Krylov vs. Spann odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Krylov -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Spann +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +125 | Under -175)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+400) | No (-750)
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UFC Fight Night 220: Krylov vs. Spann picks and predictions
Records: Krylov (29-9-0) | Spann (21-7-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
SPANN (+145) is a value play as a moderate underdog in the main event.
He has a pair of 1st-round stoppage wins in his last 2 fights, and has 5 wins via stoppage in his previous 8 outings. He holds a decent 1.5-inch reach advantage and should be able to keep Krylov at somewhat of a distance, picking and choosing his spots when the fighters are upright.
Krylov holds a 4.45-to-3.42 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he is far more accurate. But Spann is a knockout machine, and a good bet to earn a quick victory if things break the right way.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-750): Fight to go the distance is way too overpriced, costing you 7 1/2 times your potential return. The books are nearly certain this one isn’t going to go the distance. Instead, consider a method of victory pick instead.
I like Spann to get it done, and it’s a great idea to pick SPANN BY TKO/KO (+310) for a chance to triple up. In his past 6 wins, 3 have come via knockout, so that’s your best bet.
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