In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 204 at The O2 Arena in London. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 204: Aspinall vs. Volkov odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The fights can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 1:30 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 4 p.m. ET.
Volkov, the slight underdog, holds height and reach advantages of two inches each. However, the Russian is facing Aspinall in his native England, so the crowd should be able to spur the favorite on.
Aspinall has a tremendous 7.19-to-4.86 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he also has advantages in the takedown and submission average departments.
Aspinall is a perfect 4-0 since making his UFC debut, and all four victories have finished inside the distance. He has three KO/TKO wins and a submission victory, including a Round 1 knockout of Serghei Spivac last time out in September.
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UFC Fight Night 204 Volkov vs. Aspinall: Odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Volkov +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Aspinall -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)
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UFC Fight Night 204 Volkov vs. Aspinall: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Volkov (34-9-0) | Aspinall (11-2-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
ASPINALL (-135) is fighting in his native England, and The O2 Arena should be rocking all evening long. This event was supposed to happen in 2020, but the COVID-19 global pandemic threw a monkey wrench into everything. Aspinall now gets a chance to fight in front of his countrymen.
Aspinall has been a knockout machine since arriving at the UFC level, and ASPINALL BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+170) for the Method of Victory is a tremendous value, too.
Over/Under (O/U)
Aspinall should be able to get the finish in this one. Therefore, playing NO (-190): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is the way to go, too. There is no way the judges are tasked with making a decision, as Aspinall just doesn’t tend to go long into the night.
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