In a welterweight bout on the main card, Randy Brown meets Jared Gooden at UFC Fight Night 194 – also known as UFC Vegas 39 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas Saturday. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 194 Brown vs. Gooden odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 2 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.
Brown’s bouts are always exciting, win or lose. Each of his last five fights has finished inside the distance, with two submission wins and a KO/TKO victory during the span, and a pair of second-round KO/TKO losses. His last fight to go the distance was against Mickey Gall at UFC 217 in Nov. 2017.
Gooden bounced back from a pair of unanimous-decision losses to Alan Jouban and Abubakar Nurmagomedov, posting a first-round KO/TKO of Niklas Stolze in July. Six of his last eight professional bouts have finished inside the distance.
UFC Fight Night 194 Brown vs. Gooden: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Brown -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Gooden +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -205 | Under +145)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)
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UFC Fight Night 194 Brown vs. Gooden: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Brown (13-4-0) | Gooden (18-6-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Brown (-270) will cost you over two and a half times your potential wager, so unless you tie him into a parlay of three or more fighters there really isn’t a lot of value here.
Get more specific instead. I think BROWN BY TKO/KO (+245) is a tremendous value play instead. Yes, he won two of his last three fights via submission, but Gooden has never been tapped in 24 professional career bouts.
Over/Under (O/U)
NO (-190): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the pricey side, but it’s not too terrible if you couple it in a parlay with a Brown victory.
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-205) is also a little expensive, but worth a play. While I think Brown knocks out Gooden, it won’t be a quick finish.
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