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In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Roman Dolidze and Kevin Holland meet Saturday at UFC 307 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC 307: Dolidze vs. Holland odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+. The prelims begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPNews/ESPN+, and the main card begins at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.
Records: Dolidze (13-3-0) | Holland (26-11-0)
The Georgian fighter Dolidze stopped a 2-bout losing skid with a unanimous-decision win over Anthony Smith last time out at UFC 303 in late June. His previous setbacks were by majority decision to Nassourdine Imavov, and unanimous decision against Marvin Vettori. That means 3 straight fights have gone the distance, and 6 of his past 9 fights.
For Holland, he stopped Michal Oleksiejczuk via submission in 94 seconds at UFC 302 in early June. He also snapped a 2-bout losing streak which included a unanimous-decision loss to Michael Page and a split-decision loss to Jack Della Maddalena.
The 36-year-old Dolidze is 5 years older, and Holland holds a 5-inch reach advantage. Holland also has a 4.25-to-3.13 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while landing 61.22% of those strikes, while Dolidze lands 50.31% of those strikes.
In the ground game, Dolidze is a little better, posting a 1.26-to-0.84 takedown average advantage, while he is slightly more accurate on those takedowns at 40.0%. He also has a 1.14-to-0.60 submission average advantage.
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UFC 307: Dolidze vs. Holland odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dolidze +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Holland -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +170)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -185 | No +140)
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UFC 307: Dolidze vs. Holland picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
HOLLAND (-150) is a strong bet straight up as a moderate favorite against Dolidze (+125).
The young fighter will use his tremendous reach advantage to push and pull Dolidze away at his discretion, picking and choosing his spots to get close when he needs to.
With the recent history of these 2 fighters, it’s very unlikely we end up getting a finish. Holland has needed the judges to determine a winner in 3 straight fights, while Dolidze has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts.
As such, playing HOLLAND BY DECISION (+175) at plus-money for the method of victory is also a very good wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
As far as the round betting is concerned, Yes (-185): Will the fight go the distance? is a little too costly. It will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much.
In addition, Over 2.5 Rounds (-225) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s too pricey as well.
Stick to the 2-way line, and the method of victory.
PASS.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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