UFC 287 predictions: Who’s picking Israel Adesanya to get title back from Alex Pereira?

Check out our staff members’ UFC 287 main card picks, featuring Alex Pereira vs. Israel Adesanya 2 and Gilbert Burns vs. Jorge Masvidal.

Pereira
vs.
Adesanya
Burns
vs.
Masvidal
Font
vs.
Yanez
Holland
vs.
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
vs.
Rosas
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
41-28
pereira2023
Pereira
(61%)
burns2023
Burns
(80%)
yanez2023
Yanez
(67%)
holland2023
Holland
(70%)
rosas2023
Rosas
(84%)
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
44-25
adesanya2023
Adesanya
masvidal2023
Masvidal
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Matt Erickson
@MattE
43-26
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
ponzinibbio2023
Ponzinibbio
rosas2023
Rosas
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
42-27
pereira2023
Pereira
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Nolan King
@mma_kings
42-27/em>
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
40-29
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
40-29
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
ponzinibbio2023
Ponzinibbio
rosas2023
Rosas
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
39-30
trophy copy 2017 Champion
adesanya2023
Adesanya
masvidal2023
Masvidal
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
39-30
trophy copy 2018, 2022 Champion
pereira2023
Pereira
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
38-31
trophy copy 2014 Champion
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
38-31
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
yanez2023
Yanez
holland2023
Holland
rosas2023
Rosas
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
36-33
adesanya2023
Adesanya
burns2023
Burns
font2023
Font
ponzinibbio2023
Ponzinibbio
rosas2023
Rosas

The UFC is back in Miami for the first time in a long time, and a middleweight title rematch tops the card.

UFC 287 takes place Saturday at Kaseya Center in Miami. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

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In the main event, middleweight champion [autotag]Alex Pereira[/autotag] (7-1 MMA, 4-0 UFC) puts his title on the line for the first time against former champ [autotag]Israel Adesanya[/autotag] (23-2 MMA, 12-2 UFC), whom he beat to win the belt this past November. Pereira also holds two kickboxing wins over Adesanya.

Despite that, Pereira is the underdog at the betting window with Adesanya around a -150 favorite. The vast majority of our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers are picking Adesanaya to get the belt back at a rate of 9-2.

In the co-feature, [autotag]Gilbert Burns[/autotag] (21-5 MMA, 14-5 UFC) takes on [autotag]Jorge Masvidal[/autotag] (35-16 MMA, 12-9 UFC) at welterweight. Both fighters hope a win will make them a candidate to leapfrog Colby Covington as the next challenger for champ Leon Edwards. Burns is the biggest favorite on entire card, by far, at 5-1. Only two of our pickers have Masvidal in an upset.

Also on the main card, [autotag]Adrian Yanez[/autotag] (16-3 MMA, 5-0 UFC) is a near 2-1 favorite against [autotag]Rob Font[/autotag] (19-6 MMA, 9-5 UFC) at bantamweight, and he’s a near unanimous pick from our staff members at 10-1.

[autotag]Kevin Holland[/autotag] (23-9 MMA, 10-6 UFC) meets [autotag]Santiago Ponzinibbio[/autotag] (29-6 MMA, 11-5 UFC) in a potential middleweight slugfest. Holland is around a -250 betting favorite, and he has a big 8-3 picks lead.

And to open the main card, [autotag]Christian Rodriguez[/autotag] (8-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC) takes on [autotag]Raul Rosas Jr.[/autotag] (7-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC) at a 137-pound catchweight (Rodriguez missed the bantamweight limit on the scale). Rosas is more than a 2-1 favorite, and he’s the lone unanimous pick on the main card.

In the MMA Junkie consensus picks, Pereira (61 percent), Burns (80 percent), Yanez (67 percent), Holland (70 percent) and Rosas (84 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 287.

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