UFC 287: Alex Pereira vs. Israel Adesanya odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 287 odds and lines between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight championship bout in the main event, Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya meet at UFC 287 at Kaseya Center in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, while the prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View.

Pereira takes the walk looking to protect the middleweight strap that he earned by posting a 5th-round KO/TKO at UFC 281 against Adesanya in November. He has won 3 of his 4 matchups since arriving at the UFC level, including 3 via knockout.

Pereira has a 5.23-to-3.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage and has posted a 67.49% significant strikes accuracy percentage in his 4 bouts in the UFC.

Adesanya has dropped 2 of his past 5 fights after starting his professional career an impressive 20-0. When Pereira dropped him at Madison Square Garden last time out, it was the first time “The Last Stylebender” has been knocked out. The stoppage snapped a 4-bout streak of unanimous-decision finishes.

We’ve never seen Adesanya lose consecutive fights at any point during his professional career. However, Pereira used a combination of punishing calf kicks and tremendous punching power to turn the tide in the first matchup.

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UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pereira +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Adesanya -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +110 | No -150)

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UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya picks and predictions

Records: Pereira (7-1-0) | Adesanya (23-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The middleweight division is in good hands with Pereira and Adesanya at the top of the charts.

ADESANYA (-135) is the play on the 2-way line in Miami, as he looks to regain his strap. A win here likely sets up a trilogy fight.

Look for Stylebender to defend against the calf kicks much better, as he tries to keep Pereira at more of a distance. Adesanya will go back to basics, looking to keep his opponent at arm’s length, while wowing the judges with his technique.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking to METHOD OF VICTORY: ADESANYA BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+175) is a solid play for a chance to nearly double up.

If you don’t want to declare a winner, playing HOW WILL THE FIGHT FINISH? DECISION (+110) is also a value play.

There isn’t a lot of value in playing Over 2.5 Rounds (-225), as it will cost you more than 2 times your potential return.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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