In a lightweight bout on the main card, Paddy Pimblett and Jared Gordon meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 282: Pimblett vs. Gordon odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+ and the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View (PPV).
Paddy “The Baddy” looks to push his record to a perfect 4-0 at the UFC level. He has 3 wins — all 3 finishes — including a submission win over Jordan Leavitt last time out in late July.
He has won in Round 1 wins in 2 of his 3 fights at UFC level, including a KO/TKO against Luigi Vendramini in his UFC debut in Sept. 2021. Baddy has managed 4.19 significant strikes landed per minute in his 3 UFC bouts, and he looks to use a 5-inch reach advantage to hold Gordon at a distance.
Gordon has been very accurate in his UFC time, delivering 70.83% of his significant strikes in an accurate fashion and landing 5.53 significant strikes per minute. He also has a slight 1.97-to-1.88 takedown average advantage.
Gordon picked up a unanimous decision win over Leonardo Santos at UFC 278 last time out, with 4 of his past 5 fights going the distance. He hasn’t won via KO/TKO since June 2017, a win over Michael Quinones in his UFC debut. However, he has been knocked out three times since Feb. 2018, and another might be coming.
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UFC 282: Pimblett vs. Gordon odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Pimblett -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Gordon +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +115 | Under -160)
- Fight to go the distance: Yes (+140) | No (-200)
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UFC 282: Pimblett vs. Gordon picks and predictions
Records: Pimblett (19-3-0) | Gordon (19-5-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Pimblett (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive.
Instead, you’ll have to get a little more specific with the method of victory. The best bet is to take PIMBLETT BY KO/TKO (+255) for a nice payout. Gordon has been knocked out three times at the UFC level, and that’s what Baddy does best. In 24 career professional bouts, Gordon has been knocked out 4 times.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-160) is moderately priced, but it isn’t terribly out of line. It’s a better value than No (-200): Fight to go the distance.
Pimblett is going to get the victory, so playing a 2-round block is also a recommended course of action. If you were to bet PIMBLETT TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+390) and PIMBLETT TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+1100), you would obviously lose one end if he wins in Rounds 2-3. However, you’ll still be well ahead, especially if the KO comes in Round 3.
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