UFC 282: Bryce Mitchell vs. Ilia Topuria odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 282 odds and lines between Bryce Mitchell and Ilia Topuria, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Bryce Mitchell will face Ilia Topuria Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 282: Mitchell vs. Topuria odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+ and the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View (PPV).

Both Mitchell and Topuria are undefeated in the UFC heading into this bout. Mitchell, the No. 9 ranked featherweight in UFC’s rankings, has built up a 15-1 record including a 6-0 record in the UFC. His one defeat came in The Ultimate Fighter 27. Five of his 6 UFC victories were by decision, but Mitchell has a 1st-round submission win over Matt Sayles under his belt as well. Mitchell has not yet won or lost a fight by KO/TKO.

Topuria, the No. 14 ranked featherweight, is 12-0 with a 4-0 UFC record. His last 3 fights have been KOs — 2 in the 1st round and 1 in the 2nd. Topuria has also won 7 fights by submission, although none of those came in the UFC. His last victory — against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night in March — was a lightweight bout, making this a quick return back to featherweight for Topuria.

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UFC 282: Bryce Mitchell vs. Ilia Topuria odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Mitchell +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Topuria -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -133 | Under -103)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+110) | No (-150)

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UFC 282: Bryce Mitchell vs. Ilia Topuria picks and predictions

Records: Mitchell (15-1) | Topuria (12-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Topuria is a bit stronger and more sound of a striker than Mitchell with 2.87 significant strikes landed per minute to Mitchell’s 2.28. Mitchell should try to keep this one on the ground and obtain a submission or decision finish.

The issue with that is Topuria has proven that he can hold his own on the mat and escape takedowns. He will try to stand this fight back up and outwork Mitchell on their feet whereas Topuria has been able to find holes in his opponent’s game quickly enough to snag a KO/TKO for 3 fights in a row.

BET TOPURIA (-150).

Over/Under (O/U)

This is a tough bet because it depends on how many opportunities Mitchell gives Topuria to stand this fight up instead of keeping it on the ground. If Mitchell goes for the decision this could go all 3 rounds. Topuria will try to go for a finish, though, and only 1 of his 12 fights has made it past the 2nd round.

LEAN UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-103).

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