In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Jose Aldo and Merab Dvalishvili meet Saturday at UFC 278 at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah. Below, we analyze the UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+. The main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-per-view.
Aldo heads to the octagon with a 2-inch reach advantage. Dvalishvili, however, has a 4.26-to-3.61 edge in significant strikes landed per minute, while landing 60.21% of those strikes to just 49.91% for Aldo.
Aldo has picked up 3 straight unanimous-decision victories since losing in a 5th-round KO/TKO in a title fight against Petr Yan at UFC 251.
Dvalishvili has rattled off 7 straight wins since losing his first 2 bouts at the UFC level. In 6 of this fights, he ended up winning via unanimous decision, and he posted a 2nd-round KO/TKO win over Marlon Moraes at UFC 266 last time out.
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UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Aldo +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dvalishvili -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +170)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -210 | No +150)
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UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili picks and predictions
Records: Aldo (31-7-0) | Dvalishvili (14-4-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
This has the potential to be the fight of the night, and it’s one of the most evenly matched bouts on the main card.
The Georgian fighter DVALISHVILI (-140) is a great technical fighter, and he wowed the judges in 6 straight fights from Sept. 2018 to May 2021, winning by unanimous decision in each outing. He’ll do it again here against Aldo (+110). Take DVALISHVILI BY POINTS (+135) for an even better value.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-210): Fight to go the distance is too risky, as you must wager more than 2 times your potential return. Over 2.5 Rounds (-250) is an even worse play. Just stick with the method of victory and/or picking a winner on the 3-way line, and AVOID the Over/Under.
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