In a welterweight bout on the main card, Robbie Lawler and Bryan Barberena meet Saturday at UFC 276 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 276 Lawler vs. Barberena odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the prelims on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card on Pay-Per-View starts at 10 p.m.
Lawler and Barberena were bumped up to the main event after the bout between Miesha Tate and Lauren Murphy’s scrap was wiped out due to a positive COVID test for Murphy.
“Ruthless” Robbie Lawler stopped a 4-bout skid with a third-round KO/TKO victory over Nick Diaz in late Sept. 2021 at UFC 266. It was also his first knockout win since July 2015 against Rory MacDonald way back at UFC 189. Four of his past 6 fights have ended up going the distance, with 3 resulting in unanimous-decision setbacks.
Barberena is looking for his first 3-fight win streak since arriving at the UFC level. He picked up a split-decision victory against Matt Brown last time out in late March. In fact, he has ended up going the distance in 4 straight, with his last stoppage coming in a KO/TKO loss against Randy Brown in June 2019.
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UFC 276 Lawler vs. Barberena odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Lawler -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Barberena -114 (bet $114 to win $100)
- Total rounds Over 2.5 (-200) | Under 2.5 (+140)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-175) | No (+125)
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UFC 276 Lawler vs. Barberena picks and predictions
Records: Lawler (29-15-0) | Barberena (17-8-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Lawler (-110) is in the twilight of his illustrious career. While the 40-year-old has a lot of fans, BARBERENA (-114) has 7 years less tread on the tires, and a lot less wear and tear physically.
Barberena gives up 1.5 inches in the reach department, but he holds a 5.61-to-3.73 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while landing 60.57% of his significant strikes to just 51.27% for Lawler.
Over/Under (O/U)
Over 2.5 rounds (-200) is a little too expensive for my liking, so skip risking twice your potential return.
However, YES (-175): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is not out of line. Barberena has ended up going the distance in 4 consecutive fights, while Lawler has had just 2 stoppages in his past 6 outings. These are 2 veteran fighters who are likely to go the distance, without much flair and dramatics. There is a reason this one was originally slated for the preliminary round.
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