In a lightweight bout on the main card, Justin Gaethje meets Michael Chandler Saturday at UFC 268 at Madison Square Garden in New York. Below, we analyze the UFC 268 Gaethje vs. Chandler odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card begins on PPV at 10 p.m. ET.
Gaethje was choked out last time out on Fight Island by Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 254, losing his title belt in the process. He had risen to the top of the division with an upset win over Tony Ferguson at UFC 249 in May 2020.
Gaethje doesn’t waste a lot of effort, win or lose. He has 11 KO/TKO and one submission across his last 12 professional bouts. All seven of his fights since arriving at the UFC level have resulted in stoppages.
Chandler was on the fast track to a title, but he was dropped in the second round via KO/TKO by Charles Oliveira May 15 at UFC 262. He is 1-1 since joining the UFC from Bellator with a first-round KO/TKO over Dan Hooker in his debut Jan. 23.
UFC 268 Gaethje vs. Chandler: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:11 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Gaethje -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Chandler +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -127 | Under -107)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -290)
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UFC 268 Gaethje vs. Chandler: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Gaethje (22-3-0) | Chandler (22-6-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Gaethje (-220) will cost you over two times your potential return, which is just a little too expensive. He is hoping to get another shot at a title by topping Chandler.
Instead of taking him just to win on the 2-way line, get more specific. Play GAETHJE BY TKO/KO (-110) for a much better value. Six of his seven fights at the UFC have ended via TKO/KO, with four victories by way of knockout across his last five outings.
Over/Under (O/U)
Gaethje just doesn’t go the distance, but playing No (-290): Fight to go the distance is just too expensive with little value.
Instead, look to OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-127). This fight isn’t going to need the judges involvement, but Chandler will push Gaethje and make him work for this win. Chandler won’t knuckle under to the pressure early.
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