In a welterweight bout in Saturday’s prelims, Niko Price and Michel Pereira meet at UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 264 Price vs. Pereira odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6 p.m ET on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Price heads into this one with a three-inch reach advantage over his counterpart. He uses his long reach to get to the opponent early and often, posting 5.33 significant strikes landed per minute on 45.09% significant strike accuracy.
Pereira picked a unanimous decision victory against Khaos Williams his last time out at UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal in December 2020. He comes into this one on a two-fight win streak.
UFC 264 Niko Price vs. Michel Pereira: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Niko Price +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Michel Pereira -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds (Over +105 | Under -130)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -160)
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UFC 264 Niko Price vs. Michel Pereira: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Price 14-4-0 (2 NC) | Pereira 25-11-0 (2 NC)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Pereira will cost you nearly two times your potential return, and that’s quite risky against a knockout artist like PRICE (+150). I actually like the underdog as a much better value. Price is 10-3 via KO/TKO in 18 career bouts. As such, playing PRICE BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+285) on the 7-way line is a very good play, too.
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Over/Under (O/U)
I am actually quite surprised that NO (-160): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? isn’t much more costly, and that’s a good thing. Price has gone the distance just twice in his pro career, and just once in 12 career UFC bouts, while Pereira has needed the judges to get involved in just two of his five fights at the UFC level. Those are the only two times in his last 13 professional bouts dating back to Dec. 8, 2017, that have gone to the judges.
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