In a women’s flyweight bout in Saturday’s early prelims, Jennifer Maia and Jessica Eye meet at UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 264 Maia vs. Eye odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6 p.m ET on ESPN/ESPN+) with the prelims started at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Maia is hungry for a win after losing a unanimous decision for the strap at UFC 255 against Valentina Shevchenko. That loss followed up a first-round submission win over Joanne Calderwood, a rare stoppage. Five of her six fights at the UFC level have been decisions.
Eye lost to Calderwood last time out, and she has two straight unanimous-decision setbacks, as she also fell to Cynthia Calvillo in the main event on June 13, 2020. And if you’re looking to common opponents, Eye was knocked out in Round 2 against Shevchenko at UFC 238, too.
UFC 264 Jennifer Maia vs. Jessica Eye: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Jennifer Maia -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Jessica Eye +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds (Over -300 | Under +250)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -275 | No +225)
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UFC 264 Jennifer Maia vs. Jessica Eye: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Maia 18-7-1 | Eye 15-9-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Jennifer Maia (-200) is just a little more expensive than I care to spend on a money line wager as my usual limit is -180. My biggest concern is that both Maia and Jessica Eye (+165) usually get the judges involved, and I don’t want my wager decided by judges.
Five of Maia’s six fights at the UFC level, and nine of his past 10 professional bouts overall, have went the distance. Eye has decisions in each of his past three and 10 of her past 11 UFC fights.
As such, the better play is MAIA ON POINTS (+110) for me. Eye on points (+240) is also a better wager if you like the underdog, but I do not here.
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Over/Under (O/U)
PASS.
There is just no value here. I think this fight goes the distance, but Yes (-275): Will the fight go the distance? offers no value and a ton of risk. Over 2.5 Rounds (-300) is even worse.
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