UFC 263: Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 263 fight between Paul Craig and Jamahal Hill, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a light heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Paul Craig and Jamahal Hill meet at UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze the UFC 263 Craig vs. Hill odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.

UFC 263 Craig vs. Hill: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Craig +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Hill -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -120 | Under +100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +225 | No -275)

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UFC 263 Craig vs. Hill: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Craig 14-4-1 | Hill 8-0-0

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Hill (-275) heads into this one as a decisive favorite, and he holds the physical advantages. He is one inch taller than his counterpart, and he’ll try to use his three-inch reach advantage to keep the Scottish fighter at arm’s length.

Hill is also a punching machine posting 7.90 significant strikes landed per minute to just 2.40 for Craig at the UFC level. As long as Hill can keep the fight upright, and not go to the mat where Craig can be effective, the American will win. However, you cannot risk nearly three times your potential return.

Instead, get specific. Craig has been knocked out three times at the UFC level, and Saturday will be No. 4. Take HILL BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+110) on the 7-way line for a much better value than just playing him straight up.

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Over/Under (O/U)

No (-275): Will the fight go the distance? is just too expensive. Instead, play UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-225), although that’s a little on the pricey side, too.

I also like a two-round block with HILL IN ROUND 2 (+400) and HILL IN ROUND 3 (+700). You’ll lose one end of the bet, even if Hill wins in Round 2 or 3, but you’ll still be well ahead when it hits.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC 263? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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