Inter and AC Milan meet in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal Tuesday. Kickoff from San Siro, the home of both clubs, is set for 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Inter won the 1st leg 2-0 as F Edin Dzeko and M Henrikh Mkhitaryan scored in the initial 15 minutes and the remaining 75 minutes were goalless.
Inter ended the match with 16 shots (5 on goal) while AC had 13 shots (2 on goal). AC Milan did end with 57% of the possession though, giving some hope that it could bounce back in the 2nd leg.
Both clubs are in Serie A, the top Italian League. Inter sits 3rd in the league, having scored 66 goals in 35 matches, conceding 37. It is led by F Lautaro Martinez, who has 20 goals in 35 league matches.
AC is 5th in the league, having scored 55 and allowed 41 through 35. AC Milan is led by F Rafael Leao, who has scored 12 goals in 32 games.
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Inter vs. AC Milan odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | AC Milan +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Draw +230
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -145)
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Inter vs. AC Milan picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter 2, AC Milan 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN INTER (+110).
Simply put, Inter is the better team, and it has been better against AC Milan all season. Inter and AC have competed 4 times this season, and Inter has won 3 of them and had more expected goals in the lone loss.
While it didn’t start off the season strong, winning 5 of its first 10, Inter has won 7 straight games and is looking primed to make an appearance in the Champions League final.
Inter also won 4-2 last weekend in league play while AC fell 2-0. AC has had as many or fewer expected goals as its opponent in 4 of its last 5 games as well. It hasn’t played well lately. Expect that to continue Tuesday. Back INTER (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+100).
AC is going to need to push the pace, and Inter has a defense that has its flaws. It allows 1.06 goals per game with Sassuolo scoring 2 on it last weekend. Milan and Inter are 2-2 O/U this total in its 4 games against each other this season.
While AC has struggled offensively, it will have to push the tempo in order to potentially qualify, and that could open it up to successful counterattacks. AC has scored in 7 of its last 9 games. It has scored multiple goals in 2 of its last 6.
It should push the pace, and both sides should find some offense in this 2nd leg. Back the OVER 2.5 (+100).
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