The UAB Blazers (5-5) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the 7th-ranked LSU Tigers (8-2) Saturday. Kickoff for this non-conference tilt is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UAB vs. LSU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Tigers are coming off a 13-10 road victory at Arkansas, failing to cover as 5.5-point favorites last Saturday. LSU is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 games and is 6-4 ATS on the season.
LSU ranks No. 39 in both total yards (425.2 per game) and points scored (32.6) while having a competent defense as well that allows just 21.0 per game. QB Jayden Daniels steers the offense — he has thrown for 2,080 yards with 14 TDs and ran for 629 yards with 10 TDs this season.
While the Tigers are No. 7 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, they are No. 6 in the College Football Playoff Rankings.
The Blazers defeated North Texas 41-21 a week ago, covering as 6.5-point home favorites. However, they are just 1-4 ATS over their last 5 and 4-6 ATS overall.
The Blazers are led by RB DeWayne McBride, who has 1,407 rushing yards with 17 touchdowns
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UAB at LSU odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UAB +485 (bet $100 to win $485) | LSU -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UAB +15.5 (-111) | LSU -15.5 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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UAB at LSU picks and predictions
Prediction
LSU 38, UAB 20
Moneyline
PASS.
Risking 6.5 times the potential profit with LSU (-650) doesn’t make much sense, and while UAB (+485) would offer a nice payoff, it’s not winning Saturday.
Against the spread
BET LSU -15.5 (-109).
Simply put, LSU gets the job done at home. It is 5-1 ATS this season at home, and there’s no reason it will slow down now.
Daniels and Co. beat then-No. 6 Alabama 32-31 in OT as 13.5-point underdogs at home 2 weeks ago and also took down Ole Miss 45-20 at home as 1-point dogs 2 weeks before that. Visiting Death Valley is no easy task.
UAB has not played up to par lately. With LSU ranking 54th in the nation in opponents rushing yards per game (139.9), Blazers RB McBride could be limited compared to his usual competition.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 50.5 (-112).
LSU has scored 30 or more in all but 1 home game this season. The mere outlier was a 40-13 loss to then-No. 8 Tennessee.
LSU and UAB are both 4-6 O/U, which is why this comes in as a partial-unit play.
However, UAB has a dynamic offense as well, having scored 41 on North Texas and 38 on UTSA the week prior. The Blazers have scored at least 38 points in 3 of their last 6.
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