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The Troy Trojans (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt) visit the South Alabama Jaguars (2-4, 1-1) Tuesday at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Troy vs. South Alabama odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Trojans have struggled mightily this season, which is unusual for Troy. Normally, this is a team playing for conference championships, but it is a program in flux after coach Jon Sumrall left for the Tulane job in the offseason.
Troy is 0-5 straight up (SU) in 5 games against FBS opponents, with its only win coming against Florida A&M of the FCS Sept. 21. The Trojans are also 2-4 against the spread (ATS), including 0-3 ATS at home.
South Alabama has dropped 2 in a row since routing Appalachian State 48-14 Sept. 19. The Jaguars lost 42-10 at LSU and 18-16 at Arkansas State. At home, the Jags are 1-1 SU/ATS in 2 games, with the Over cashing in both outings.
Troy leads the all-time series 9-3, including victories in each of the past 6 meetings. The Trojans won 28-10 at home last season Nov. 2, 2023, while it posted a 10-6 victory in the most recent meeting in Mobile. Troy has covered 6 in a row in the series, while the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings and 7-2-1 in the previous 10 in the series.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Troy at South Alabama odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 4:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Troy +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | South Alabama -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Troy +13.5 (-110) | South Alabama -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Troy at South Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
South Alabama 27, Troy 20
Moneyline
South Alabama (-550) will cost you 5½ times your potential return, and that’s way too risky for either a standalone wager or a multi-leg parlay. This is a 2-win team, and it has lost 6 in a row to Troy (+400).
PASS.
Against the spread
TROY +13.5 (-110) is worth a look catching nearly 2 touchdowns, even though the Trojans have struggled offensively.
South Alabama -13.5 (-110) has also struggled, however, and it has averaged just 13.0 PPG in the past 2 games against LSU and Arkansas State. It lost and failed to cover in its only previous home game against an FBS opponent back on Aug. 31, a 52-38 loss to North Texas.
Back the visitors, as Troy has cashed 6 straight meetings since Oct. 23, 2018.
Over/Under
UNDER 54.5 (-105) might be the best play.
The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings in this series, while going 7-2-1 across the previous 10 battles dating back to Oct. 24, 2014.
Troy has also cashed in 3 in a row and 4 of the past 5 meetings. For South Alabama, the Under is 2-0-1 in the past 3 outings and 3-1-1 in the previous 5 contests.
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