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The Troy Trojans (1-0) and the Kansas State Wildcats (1-0) meet Saturday at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kan. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Troy vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Troy kicked off the season with a 48-30 win over Stephen F. Austin of the FCS last Saturday, although it failed to cover the 26.5-point number. The Trojans helped cash the Over (48) nearly by themselves.
K-State also opened with an FCS foe, and it pounded Southeast Missouri State 45-0 to cover the 28.5-point spread as the Under (55.5) cashed. The Wildcats rolled up 588 total yards of offense, and it outrushed the Redhawks 228 to 6. If there is an area to improve, K-State was just 4 of 10 on 3rd-down efficiency, and it was minus-1 in turnover ratio.
Kansas State is No. 15 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.
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Troy at Kansas State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Troy +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Kansas State -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Troy +16.5 (-110) | Kansas State -16.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Troy at Kansas State picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 45, Troy 17
Moneyline
Kansas State (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return in a singular bet, or you’d net $12.50 for every $100 risked. That’s not anywhere close to an acceptable reward for such a risk.
PASS.
Against the spread
KANSAS STATE -16.5 (-110) is a great bet at home. The Wildcats looked tremendous defensively in the opener, albeit against an overmatched FCS foe. And while QB Will Howard was very good, passing for 297 yards and 2 TDs while running for a score, he could be better. He was picked off, and the team struggled on 3rd down.
Troy +16.5 (-110), on the other hand, really struggled defensively against the Lumberjacks last weekend, and while SFA is not a terrible FCS team, it is still an FCS team. The Trojans are going to have a tough time containing the versatile and high-octane offense of the Wildcats.
Over/Under
OVER 51.5 (-110) is a strong play here.
While the defense for K-State gave up nothing, Troy should be able to pierce the end zone at least once or twice. The Wildcats will certainly get their share of points, too, finding little resistance against a Trojans defense which allowed an FCS opponent to drop 30 on them in their place last weekend.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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