The Green Bay Packers will go into the 2021 NFL draft with 10 picks: one original pick in each round plus compensatory picks in the fourth, fifth and sixth rounds.
During his first three drafts, Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst has been active moving up and down the board to either target certain players or build capital. With 10 picks in 2021, he’ll likely be active for a fourth-straight draft.
The Jimmy Johnson trade value chart can be used (and is used) by teams to determine draft pick value. There are other ways to measure the value, but here is the individual trade value of the Packers’ 10 picks using the Johnson model:
- First round, No. 29 overall: 640 points
- Second round, No. 62 overall: 284 points
- Third round, No. 92 overall: 132 points
- Fourth round, No. 135 overall: 38.5 points
- Fourth round, No. 142 overall: 35 points
- Fifth round, No. 173 overall: 20.6 points
- Fifth round, No. 178 overall: 18.6 points
- Sixth round. No. 214 overall: 4.2 points
- Sixth round, No. 220 overall: 1.7 points
- Seventh round, No. 256 overall: 1 point
- Total value (10 picks): 1,175.6 points (1,115.2 points in 2020)
Here’s the full draft order, with corresponding trade values:
According to Tankathon, the Packers are going into the 2021 draft ranked 25th in the NFL in draft capital.
Here’s an example of a trade using the Johnson model. Let’s say the Packers want to trade up with the Indianapolis Colts at No. 21 overall. The difference between the No. 21 and No. 29 overall picks is 160 points. At the very least, the Packers would likely have to offer their third-round pick (132 points) for the Colts to consider the offer.
Here is the Rich Hill model of trade value:
- First round, No. 29 overall: 203 points
- Second round, No. 62 overall: 84 points
- Third round, No. 92 overall: 43 points
- Fourth round, No. 135 overall: 18 points
- Fourth round, No. 142 overall: 15 points
- Fifth round, No. 173 overall: 8 points
- Fifth round, No. 178 overall: 7 points
- Sixth round. No. 214 overall: 3 points
- Sixth round, No. 220 overall: 3 points
- Seventh round, No. 256 overall: 1 point
- Total value (10 picks): 385 points (357 points in 2020)
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