The Philadelphia 76ers (8-4) host the Toronto Raptors (6-6) Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at Wells Fargo Center. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Toronto has lost three straight including two double-digit blowouts in back-to-back games against the Brooklyn Nets Sunday and at the Boston Celtics Tuesday. The Raptors are 5-7 ATS and 5-7 O/U with the 12th-best net rating (plus-1.2).
Philly has lost two in a row to the New York Knicks Monday and the Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday, both without big Joel Embiid. Despite all their injuries, the Sixers have the fifth-best net rating (plus-6.3) and are 7-5 ATS and 4-7-1 O/U.
The Sixers won and covered against the Raptors in two of three regular-season meetings last year. Embiid put up 24.0 points per game on just 32.0% shooting (30.0% from behind the arc) in those contests.
Raptors at 76ers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Raptors +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | 76ers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +2.5 (-105) | 76ers -2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Raptors at 76ers key injuries
Raptors
- PF Pascal Siakam (rest) doubtful
- C Khem Birch (knee) out
76ers
- SG Seth Curry (foot) questionable
- SG Tobias Harris (health and safety protocols) questionable
- C Joel Embiid (health and safety protocols) out
- SF Matisse Thybulle (health and safety protocols) out
Raptors at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Raptors 107, 76ers 101
Money line
Slight “LEAN” to the RAPTORS (+122) because I “like” Toronto plus the points and there’s some value in the underdog’s money line in this spot.
The Raptors have been road warriors thus far, winning and covering four of their five away games to start the year.
Two of Philly’s massive edges over Toronto that decided last year’s meetings should be significantly reduced in tonight’s game.
Not only did Embiid dominate the Raptors on the glass last season but Philly’s big draws a ton of fouls on the opponent and gets to the foul line a lot.
Moreover, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Embiid grades in the 94th percentile of bigs in on/off offensive FT rate and 91st percentile in on/off defensive rebounding rate.
However, Embiid is sidelined because of the NBA’s healthy and safety protocols. The Sixers might not get to the line as often as they’re accustomed to and the Raptors have been an awesome rebounding team through three weeks.
Toronto has the highest offensive rebounding rate in the NBA and Philly’s defensive rebounding rate is the second-worst. Furthermore, the Raptors are much better in the ball security department — Toronto has the fifth-best offensive turnover rate and the top defensive turnover rate in the NBA.
Against the spread
Definitely BET the RAPTORS +2.5 (-105) heavier than or instead of Toronto’s money line based on the aforementioned analysis.
I think there’s extra value on the Raptors in this spot because the average bettor is starting to see how well-coached Philly is and Toronto got crushed last night by a mediocre Celtics team sans one of their best players.
Over/Under
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 210.5 (-115) because these teams play at the two slowest paces in the Association and both could be without two All-Star-caliber players.
However, we are getting to this total way late as it opened at 213.5 but most of the value in this line has already been steamed out.
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