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The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-9) travel to meet the Washington Capitals (33-26-8) at Wells Fargo Center Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Maple Leafs lead 1-0; Toronto won 4-1 on Oct. 24 at Capital One Arena
The Maple Leafs suffered a 4-3 loss against the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday, snapping an 8-game winning streak in the series. Toronto has suffered back-to-back losses for the 1st time since it dropped 3 in a row from Jan. 13-16.
The Capitals have picked up 3 consecutive victories, including a 5-2 win Monday against the Calgary Flames. Washington outscored the competition 9-4 in the 3-game win streak, and each victory came as an underdog. The Under is 4-2-1 in the past 7 games.
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Maple Leafs at Capitals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Capitals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs -1.5 (+170) | Capitals +1.5 (-210)
- Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Maple Leafs at Capitals projected goalies
Joseph Woll (9-7-1, 2.89 GAA, .911 SV%) vs. Darcy Kuemper (13-13-3, 3.29 GAA, .890 SV%, 1 SO)
Woll is likely to get the starting nod after Ilya Samsonov allowed 4 goals on 30 shots in a loss in Philadelphia. The Toronto backup has allowed 4 goals in each of his 2 March starts, which are losses at home and on the road against the Boston Bruins.
Kuemper was tuned up for 7 goals on 37 shots in a 7-2 road loss against the Edmonton Oilers last time out on Wednesday. He has allowed 3 or more goals in each of his past 6 starts. He suffered a loss on Oct. 24 in D.C. against the Leafs, allowing 4 goals on just 17 shots.
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Maple Leafs at Capitals picks and predictions
Prediction
Capitals 4, Maple Leafs 3
Moneyline
The CAPITALS (+120) are worth playing as short ‘dogs at home, as the Maple Leafs (-145) have a tough turnaround after losing in Philadelphia on Tuesday night.
The Caps have won 3 in a row, and Washington has cashed in 5 of the past 7 outings, outscoring the competition 21-15 dating back to March 7.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Capitals +1.5 (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward if you just can’t bring yourself to bet Washington straight up.
AVOID.
Over/Under
OVER 6 (-120) is worth play lightly.
The Capitals have cashed the Over in 5 of the past 6 home games, while the total has gone high in 2 of the previous 4 outings.
For the Leafs, the Over has connected in 3 consecutive outings, with the Leafs going for 4.3 goals per game in the span, while coughing up 3.7 GPG. That’s a good recipe for plenty of Over results.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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