The Toronto Maple Leafs (19-8-2) come off a 5-2 loss against the Winnipeg Jets on home ice Saturday and make the short trip to the nation’s capital to visit the Ottawa Senators (9-20-1) Sunday at Canadian Tire Centre. Puck drop will be at 7 p.m. ET between the North Division rivals. Below, we analyze the Maple Leafs-Senators odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Maple Leafs maintain a four-point lead over the Jets atop the North Division while the Senators are in last place in the all-Canadian division. Toronto leads this season series 3-1-1.
Ottawa last played Friday in a 6-2 loss to the Edmonton Oilers on the road. The Sens were swept 3-0 and were outscored 16-5 in the series. Toronto is 1-4-0 in its last five games.
Maple Leafs at Senators: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:54 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Maple Leafs -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Senators +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Against the spread/ATS: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+110) | Senators +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Maple Leafs at Senators: Projected starting goalies
Michael Hutchinson (3-2-0, .934 SV%, 2.03 GAA) vs. Matt Murray (7-12-1, .880 SV%, 3.84 GAA)
The Leafs will give Frederik Andersen the night off on the second half of a back-to-back and Jack Campbell remains out due to a lower-body injury. Hutchinson allowed 3 goals on 28 shots in a loss to the Vancouver Canucks March 4, and he stopped 34 of 37 shots in a win over Sens last month.
Murray’s troubles with consistency continue. He gave up 7 goals on 36 shots in a loss to the Oilers Wednesday. He has alternated wins and losses over his last five games following a three-game win streak. He is 1-3-0 with an .880 SV% and 3.72 GAA in four games against the Leafs this season.
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Maple Leafs at Senators: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Senators 4, Maple Leafs 3
Money line (ML)
The rested SENATORS (+210) are the play with the Maple Leafs coming off a Saturday game and stuck in their worst stretch of the season. Ottawa has two wins and three losses in this head-to-head season series and has played the Leafs well other than a 7-3 loss in the last meeting. Two losses were by single-goal margins.
Prior to back-to-back losses to the Oilers by scores of 7-1 and 6-2 Wednesday and Friday, respectively, Ottawa had won four straight games following a loss by 3 or more goals.
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Against the spread (ATS)
There’s still value with the SENATORS +1.5 (-135) to stay within a 1-goal margin in a loss. Only one of their three losses to the Leafs was by 2 or more goals.
Ottawa is 14-16 ATS as an underdog in every game but Toronto is just 12-17 ATS while favored in all but one game.
Over/Under (O/U)
Back the OVER 6.5 (+100) at even-money in this sixth meeting of the season between the Senators and Maple Leafs. The series is 3-2 against the Over/Under, Toronto has played to three straight Overs and Ottawa hit the Over in five of its last six games.
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