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The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins meet in Game 5 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Tuesday. The Bruins lead the series 3-1. Puck drop from TD Garden is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs at Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Toronto has dropped back-to-back games after falling 3-1 Saturday and failing to cash as a -127 home favorite. RW Mitch Marner scored the lone goal for the Maple Leafs, which came in the 3rd period and prevented a shutout.
All 3 goals came in the 1st 2 periods for Boston, which cashed as a +115 road underdog. LW Brad Marchand led the way with a goal and an assist.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Bruins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-190) | Bruins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Maple Leafs at Bruins projected goalies
Ilya Samsonov (23-7-8, 3.13 GAA, .890 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Jeremy Swayman (25-10-8, 2.53 GAA, .916 SV%, 3 SO)
Samsonov ranks 38th in the NHL in GAA and 45th in SV%. He has allowed 2 or more goals in each game this series with his GAA (3.32) being slightly higher than his season average. His SV% in this series (.883) is slightly lower than his season average, as well.
Swayman has the 8th-best GAA in the NHL and is tied for the 5th-best SV%. Boston has won each game he has started in this series, with the goalie giving up 2 or fewer goals in each start. His 1.34 GAA and .956 SV% are both higher than his season averages.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins picks and predictions
Prediction
Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 3
Moneyline
BET BRUINS (-165).
Returning home with a commanding lead, look for the Bruins to amp up the pressure in order to put this series away. They have won back-to-back games, both on the road, and have the Leafs on the ropes. They have not allowed more than 3 goals in any game this series and have scored 3 or more in 3 of the 4 games.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
While there is a chance for Boston to cover the -1.5 (+155) puck line, the moneyline is a safer play. If it comes down to their season on the line, the Maple Leafs would send the all-out attack and could sneakily erase a deficit.
Over/Under
BET OVER 5.5 (-120).
Boston has scored 3 or more goals in 3 of the 4 games thus fare with the teams scoring 6 or more goals in 2 of the 4 games. In a crucial Game 5, with the Bruins trying to put the Leafs away and the Leafs fighting to keep their season alive, expect a fast-paced, high-attack game resulting in more goals.
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