Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (22-19) and St. Louis Cardinals (23-18) open an abbreviated 2-game set Monday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting.

The Blue Jays head to St. Louis after going 4-2 over a 6-game homestand against the Seattle Mariners and Cincinnati Reds. Toronto pitching has been sensational of late: the Jays allowed just 11 runs over those half-dozen games and they own a 1.65 ERA since May 14.

The Cardinals swept 3 games against the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend. The St. Louis offense has been hot for more than a couple of weeks now with an average of 6.06 runs per game on the strength of a .806 OPS since May 4.

Blue Jays at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Berrios (3-2, 4.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 9th start of the season. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Coming off 7 scoreless innings Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners; had allowed 11 runs over his previous 2 starts.
  • Owns a 6.43 ERA and 1.57 WHIP across 21 road innings.

Mikolas (3-2, 1.68 ERA) owns a 0.99 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 48 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Threw a season-high 106 pitches in his last start with 2 ER allowed across 6 IP at the New York Mets Tuesday.
  • Entered this season with a career ERA of 3.85 across 520 2/3 IP.
  • Has not yielded more than 2 ER in any start this season.

Blue Jays at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Blue Jays -1.5 (+165) | Cardinals +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Cardinals 4

Money line

Both teams have won-loss, batting, and pitching indicators that swing different ways, so this isn’t the best series for big investments.

However, a back-to-normal Berrios would be worth some speculation at this price. The Blue Jay hurler compiled a 3.74 ERA and 1.17 WHIP from 2017-21. Bettors will want to see his strikeout numbers return to established levels before really putting some play in him, but Berrios and the visitors are worth the risk for the return in this TORONTO (-105) play.

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Run line/Against the spread

Too much juice to overcome here: AVOID.

Over/Under

The Cards’ recent offense, some fade to Mikolas as a starter and some play to the Toronto offense as having more in the tank. Mix in a fatigued Blue Jay bullpen, and there is some leverage in the OVER 7.5 (-105).

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