The Seattle Mariners (42-42) host the Toronto Blue Jays (45-39) Friday for the 2nd of their 4-game series at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Toronto is 3-7 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes an 8-3 series-opening loss to the Mariners Thursday.
Seattle has won 5 consecutive games and is 8-2 SU in the last 10 and 14-6 SU in the last 20.
The Blue Jays-Mariners season series is tied 2-2 SU, but Seattle has a plus-2 run differential in those meetings.
Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters
RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP George Kirby
Stripling is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP over 11 starts and 8 relief appearances.
- Last start: Lost 7-3 Sunday at home vs. the Tampa Bay Rays with. 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 road splits: 3-1 with 3.10 ERA (29 IP, 10 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 1 HR and 6.8 K/9 in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances.
Kirby is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 60 IP over 11 starts.
- Last start: Won 2-1 Saturday at home vs. the Oakland Athletics with 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 9 K.
- 2022 home splits: 0-2 with a 4.64 ERA (33 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8 HR and 10.1 K/9 in 6 starts.
Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 7, Blue Jays 3
Money line
GIMME the MARINERS (-110) because they’ve been bet from a slight home underdog up to the current number and Seattle is 15-11 SU as home favorites whereas the Blue Jays (-110) are 5-8 SU as road underdogs.
Also, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with nearly 60% of the money on the Mariners while more than 75% of the bets placed are on Toronto, per Pregame.com. Since sharps put up a lot more dough than your average Joe, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.
BET 1 unit on the MARINERS (-110).
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN MARINERS -1.5 (+175) ALTERNATE RL because of the fat payout and every Blue Jays-Mariners meeting this season has been decided by at least 3 runs even though the series is tied 2-2.
I’d only “sprinkle” on Seattle’s alternate RL, if at all, since Toronto’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching and the Mariners’ bullpen is only slightly better than the Blue Jays’.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-110) because both lineups hit right-handed pitching well and neither starter is a top-of-the-rotation guy even though Kirby is a solid prospect out of Seattle’s farm system and Stripling has been locked in this year. That said, Seattle’s ML is my favorite look in this game.
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