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The Toronto Blue Jays (45-38) and the Seattle Mariners (41-42) open a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1
The Blue Jays avoided an embarrassing road sweep at the hands of the lowly Oakland Athletics, winning 2-1 Wednesday after being outscored 10-4 in the first 2 games.
The Mariners have won 4 in a row and 7 of the past 8 games, climbing to within one game of .500. Seattle hasn’t been .500 or better since May 3.
Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters
RHP Casey Lawrence v Undecided vs. LHP Marco Gonzales
The Blue Jays haven’t announced a starting pitcher as of this publishing. The Toronto Sun reported that RHP Casey Lawrence (0-1, 6.23 ERA) will get the nod. The 34-year-old right-hander has pitched in 4 MLB games this season (13 IP, 9 ER, 13 H, 9 K), all in relief.
- 2022 Triple-A stats: 8-2, 2.22 ERA (73 IP, 18 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.0 K/9 with Buffalo
- Last MLB outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP out of the bullpen Saturday, yielding 6 ER on 7 H, 2 HR and 1 BB with 6 K vs. visiting Tampa Bay Rays
- Hasn’t made a start in the majors since April 27, 2017 in his first go-around with the Blue Jays
- Made 34 relief appearances with the Mariners from 2017-18, going 3-0 with a 6.20 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 45 ER).
Gonzalez (4-9, 3.29 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.
- Allowed just 1 ER, 5 H and 3 BB with 2 K across 6 IP in a 5-1 win at Toronto May 18
- Is 2-4 with a 3.28 ERA with a .236 opponents’ batting average in 46 2/3 IP across 8 starts at home.
Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Blue Jays 4
Money line
The MARINERS (+115) are the play at home behind the veteran southpaw Gonzales. He was crafty in a win against the Blue Jays in Toronto earlier this season.
Toronto’s starting pitching staff has been awful, and now it turns to an emergency pitcher making his first start since 2017. Lawrence might pitch with a little bit of a chip on his shoulder since he has spent time within the Seattle organization, but look for the M’s to prevail.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Mariners +1.5 (-145) aren’t worth playing on the run line because of the -145 juice, and it’s not as good a value as the money line.
If you like Seattle, and you should, just play it straight up.
Over/Under
The OVER 8.5 (-112) is the lean here.
It’s uncertain how deep Lawrence will be able to go for the Blue Jays. The Toronto bullpen has been taxed by manager Charlie Montoyo lately. That’s good news for the Seattle offense and for Over bettors.
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