Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (62-54) and New York Yankees (73-45) meet Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 4-game AL East series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 8-4

The Blue Jays are coming off a 6-1 win over the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday but are just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Toronto is 6-5 on the road since the break; the Jays have pounded the baseball to the tune of an .840 OPS over those 11 away games.

The Yankees downed the Tampa Bay Rays 8-7 in 10 innings Wednesday. The 8 runs were an anomaly for an offense that had plated just 9 runs over its previous 7 games.

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Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Berrios (8-5, 5.61 ERA) has made 23 starts this season. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 122 IP.

  • Allowed 8 runs across 4 innings in his last effort vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday.
  • Owns a Boeing 7.50 ERA (and 1.59 WHIP) on the road.
  • His current ERA would be his highest in a single season since 2016. Logged a 3.74 ERA from 2017-21.

Montas (4-9, 3.59 ERA) has logged a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 112 2/3 IP across 21 starts.

  • Has allowed 8 ER in as many innings over 2 starts for the Yankees.
  • Was a very good home pitcher the last 2-plus seasons for the Oakland Athletics (2.96 ERA since 2020).

Blue Jays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4

Money line

Berrios has perhaps been a bit unlucky with his home run rate as compared to fly balls yielded. He’s backed by the fresher bullpen in this game.

TAKE TORONTO (+122).

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Run line/Against the spread

TORONTO +1.5 (-165) is worth a play with a run of insurance as long as this line doesn’t get any steeper. If it gets more expensive than -165 it’s a pass.

Over/Under

Mixed bag here: Under pressure from the starters and Over pressure from the bullpens and the Toronto bats. STEER CLEAR.

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