The Toronto Blue Jays (48-45) meet the New York Mets (51-43) Saturday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0.
LHP Hyun Jin Ryu is Toronto’s projected starter. Ryu is 9-5 with a 3.32 ERA (105 2/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 over 18 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 5-0, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 4 K Sunday against the Texas Rangers.
- vs. Mets on the current roster: 1.39 FIP with a .226 batting average (BA), .223 wOBA, .318 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.4 K% and 86.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 63 plate appearances (PA).
RHP Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Mets. Walker is 7-3 with a 2.99 ERA (90 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 across 17 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 0 K Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 2.02 FIP with a .195 BA, .236 wOBA, .400 xSLG, 36.4 K% and 88.5 mph EV in 44 PA.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Blue Jays at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Mets 2
Money line (ML)
This is a “good spot” for the BLUE JAYS (-120) because they are productive against right-handed pitching while the Mets struggle vs. lefties and have a 10-17 record when facing lefty starters this season.
For instance, Toronto’s lineup is top 3 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS and has the eighth-highest hard-contact rate vs. right-handed pitching.
Furthermore, New York’s lineup is below-average to bad in wRC+, wOBA and OPS against left-handed pitching, and Ryu has pitched well when visiting New York. Ryu is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA (27 IP, 3 ER), 0.70 WHIP and 7.8 K/BB rate in four career starts at Citi Field.
Also, the Blue Jays have dominated interleague competition (13-3 overall record) whereas the Mets are just 6-7 when playing AL teams.
BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-120).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Slight “LEAN” to the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+135) for a tiny wager because Toronto is 12-4 ATS in interleague games (New York is 6-7 ATS) and the Blue Jays have the third-best cover rate as a road favorite at 11-8 ATS.
My hesitancy with Toronto’s run line is that New York is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog this year, the Blue Jays bullpen is a below-average unit across several advanced pitching metrics, and the Mets relievers are top tier.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-105) for a half unit because Ryu has been good in Citi Field, Walker has been lights out at home this year and the Mets are 2-7 O/U this season as home underdogs.
Walker is 4-0 at home this season with a 1.75 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.95 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in eight starts.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]