The Toronto Blue Jays (26-20) look to complete a 4-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels (27-21) at Angel Stadium Sunday. First pitch for the series finale is set for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Toronto leads 3-0 with a plus-5 run differential
The Blue Jays won 6-5 Saturday thanks to a 3-run top of the 8th-inning rally featuring a 2-run RBI double by Toronto 3B Matt Chapman.
Blue Jays at Angels projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval
Berrios is 3-2 with a 4.75 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP over 9 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 7-3 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Monday with 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 7 K.
- 2021 vs. the Angels: 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 5 BB and 14 K.
Sandoval is 3-1 with a 1.79 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP across 7 starts.
- Last start: 4-1 home win vs. Oakland Athletics May 22 with 7 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 HR1 BB and 7 K.
- 2022 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA (24 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP and 3.4 K/BB rate over 4 starts.
Blue Jays at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Angels -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Angels -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Blue Jays at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 7, Blue Jays 2
Money line
BET ANGELS (-135) since they’ve been steamed up by sharp action, L.A. has edges in the starting pitching matchup and a better lineup and Toronto is just 3-5 vs. left-handed starters.
The Angels opened as -120 favorites but heavy, early action has moved their price up to the current number. Also, Berrios’ advanced pitching stats, both on the year and vs. the Angels, are dreadful.
Berrios ranks in the 13th percentile or worse in expected-batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash rate, exit velocity (EV), hard-hit rate and barrel and whiff rates, per Statcast.
Against active Angels hitters, Berrios has a .336/.428/.601 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash rate with a 95.3 mph EV in 50 plate appearances.
The Angels lineup ranks 2nd in wRC+ (115) and 4th in both wOBA (.326) and WAR (8.8), according to FanGraphs. Toronto’s lineup has a 97 wRC+ (ranked 17th), .305 wOBA (19th) and 5.0 WAR (18th).
BET ANGELS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread
SPRINKLE on the ANGELS -1.5 (+155), if at all, because of their aforementioned edges in this matchup, Berrios has a 6.26 ERA in his last 5 starts vs. the Angels and 4 of L.A.’s 6 wins in Sandoval starts have been by at least 2 runs.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-102).
Toronto is 6-3 O/U in Berrios’ 9 starts and 6-0 O/U in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Plus, the Over has cashed in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
However, I’m more confident in the Angels’ ML and Sandoval has been dealing thus far. The Angels are 1-5-1 O/U in Sandoval’s 7 starts and 10-15-2 O/U at home.
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