The Los Angeles Angels (27-20) host the Toronto Blue Jays (25-20) for Game 3 of their 4-game series Saturday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Toronto leads 2-0 and the Blue Jays have a plus-4 run differential.
Toronto won the series opener 6-3 Friday with Blue Jays SP Hyun Jin Ryu outpitching Angels SP Shohei Ohtani. The Blue Jays beat the Angels 4-3 Friday thanks to a go-ahead Toronto C Alejandro Kirk run on an error off of LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. single in the top of the 9th inning.
Blue Jays at Angels projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen
Kikuchi is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 36 1/3 IP over 8 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 3-2 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K.
- 2021 vs. the Angels: 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA (9 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 4 HR, 1 BB and 15 K in 2 starts.
Lorenzen is 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP across 7 starts.
- Last start: Win, 5-3, Saturday at home vs. the Oakland Athletics with 6-scoreless IP, 3 H, 2 BB and 5 K.
- 2022 home splits: 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 3 HR, 8 BB and 22 K in 4 starts.
Blue Jays at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Angels -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Blue Jays at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 6, Blue Jays 4
Money line
GIMME the ANGELS (-112) because they have an edge over the Blue Jays (-108) in hitting and relief pitching.
L.A.’s lineup is 8th in wRC+ (112) and 12th in wOBA (.319) vs. left-handed pitching (per FanGraphs). While Toronto’s lineup has a 97 wRC+ (ranked 17th), .304 wOBA (19th) and 0.32 BB/K rate (24th) against righties.
Also, L.A.’s bullpen is 10th in xFIP (3.75) with better swing-and-miss rates than Toronto’s bullpen who’s 15th in xFIP (3.86).
BET 1 unit on the ANGELS (-112).
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Run line/Against the spread
SPRINKLE on the ANGELS -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL since their last 10 meetings with the Blue Jays have been decided by at least 2 runs and L.A. has a slightly better starter Saturday.
Lorenzen and Kikuchi’s advanced pitching numbers aren’t far apart, but Lorenzen is 3-1 SU at home with a 2.38 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB rate.
The ANGELS -1.5 (+175) is juicy based on all their aforementioned edges in this matchup.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-107) only because I prefer L.A.’s ML and a vast majority of the market is betting the Over but the total hasn’t budged, which is suspicious.
But, Blue Jays-Angels have gone Over the total in 8 of their last 11 meetings, L.A. is 5-2 O/U in Lorenzen’s 7 starts and Toronto is 9-1-1 O/U in the last 14 road games against a righty starter.
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