The Toronto Blue Jays (38-29) continue their 3-game series with the Chicago White Sox (32-33) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Chicago held off Toronto’s 2-run rally in the top of the 9th to win the series opener 8-7 Tuesday. White Sox SP Lance Lynn picked up his 1st win of the season and Chicago’s lineup tattooed Blue Jays SP Jose Berrios for 6 earned runs on 3 home runs in 4 innings.
Toronto leads the season series with Chicago 3-1 and has a plus-9 run differential in those meetings.
Blue Jays at White Sox projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Dylan Cease
Gausman is 5-6 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 73 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: Lost 10-2 Thursday at home vs. the Baltimore Orioles with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 vs. the White Sox: One start, a 6-5 home win May 31 with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.
Cease is 5-3 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 68 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: Won 5-1 at the Detroit Tigers June 14 with 5 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 7 H, 1 BB and 8 K.
- 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: One start, a 5-2 win in Toronto Aug. 24 with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 7 K.
Blue Jays at White Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:24 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | White Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | White Sox +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Blue Jays at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 7, Blue Jays 4
Money line
BET the WHITE SOX (+110) since they have the edge in the starting pitching matchup, Toronto’s bullpen is unreliable and Chicago’s lineup has been a lot more productive this month.
Cease grades higher than Gausman in several advanced pitching metrics such as hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected ERA, whiff rate, spin and movement, per Statcast.
Three of Cease’s 5 pitches have a minus-run value (RV) and his slider is 1 of the most effective pitches in baseball while only 1 of Gausman’s 4 pitches has a minus-RV.
Also, Toronto’s bullpen ranks 26th in FIP (4.25) and 25th in home run per 9-inning rate (1.24), per FanGraphs, both worse than Chicago’s bullpen.
Finally, the White Sox hitters got off to a rough start this year but in June are 6th in both WAR (4.3) and wRC+ (127) and 7th in wOBA.
BET 1 unit on the WHITE SOX (+110).
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The White Sox +1.5 (-145) is out of my price range considering how poorly their lineup has hit right-handed pitching this season and Chicago is just 11-20 RL at home.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (+105) because this is a suspiciously high total since both teams are sending top-of-the-rotation starters out there.
Guaranteed Rate Field is 6th in wOBA and 2nd in home run rate in the MLB (per EVAnalytics.com) so it’s a very hitter-friendly ballpark.
Also, there are hitter-friendly weather conditions forecast for Tuesday night with temperatures in the low-to-mid-90s and 18 mph winds blowing out to right center field.
It’s only a LEAN to the OVER 9.5 (+105) because this is a sharp total and I prefer Chicago’s ML.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]