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The Toledo Rockets (6-5) face the No. 25 Purdue Boilermakers (8-4) Sunday. Tip-off from Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana, is set for 6 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Toledo vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Toledo dropped its fourth game in 5 outings on Wednesday, losing 78-49 to the No. 12 Houston Cougars. Despite the lopsided defeat, they covered as 29.5-point road underdogs as the Under 140.5 hitting. The Rockets struggled inside, getting outrebounded 50-29 and outscored in the paint 46-16. G Sam Lewis led Toledo with 14 points.
The Boilermakers suffered their second straight loss to a ranked opponent, falling 87-69 to the No. 2 Auburn Tigers last time out on Dec. 21. They couldn’t cover as 10-point road underdogs as the Over 149.5 hit. Purdue’s 12 turnovers turned into 23 points for the Tigers. F Trey Kaufman-Renn led Purdue with 15 points, 8 rebounds, an assist and a block.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Toledo at Purdue odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Toledo +1450 (bet $100 to win $1,450) | Purdue -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Toledo +21.5 (-115) | Purdue -21.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Toledo at Purdue picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 95, Toledo 70
Moneyline
PASS.
Purdue (-5000) will make short work of the Rockets on Sunday evening, but there’s no way you should bet them on the moneyline. Take your wager to the spread or total.
Against the spread
BET PURDUE -21.5 (-105).
The Boilermakers have faced a tough slate early this season, with 5 games against ranked opponents and 2 more that receiving poll votes. They’ll be glad to face Toledo on Sunday at Mackey Arena.
The Rockets have only played one tough opponent (Houston) and were nearly blown out by 29 points. Toledo’s defense has been terrible, allowing 77.4 points per game (PPG), ranking 314th in the country.
Purdue has covered the spread in their last 2 home games, and they should extend that streak to 3 on Sunday.
Over/Under
BET OVER 155.5 (-110).
While Toledo’s defense struggles, Purdue’s isn’t much better, allowing 71.8 PPG to rank 196th nationally. The Boilermakers have hit the Over in 4 of their last 5 games. Toledo scores an impressive 78.3 PPG, which should help keep the tempo high. With both teams likely pushing the pace, expect plenty of points and for the total to cover this number.
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