Toledo at Ohio State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toledo at Ohio State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toledo Rockets (2-0) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (2-0) meet Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Toledo vs. Ohio State school odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Rockets have registered a pair of victories while averaging 46.0 PPG, ranking 16th in the nation. Toledo is also yielding just 5.0 PPG and 58.0 passing yards per game, 2nd overall in both categories. However, those numbers are likely to change, facing a top-5 team, rather than Long Island of the FCS and one of the worst FBS teams from UMass.

The Buckeyes were a bit sluggish in their opener against Notre Dame, winning 21-10. Ohio State also wasn’t hitting on all cylinders in a 45-16 win against Arkansas State of the Sun Belt, and the Buckeyes are 0-2 ATS so far.

Ohio State is No. 3 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Toledo at Ohio State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Toledo +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Ohio State -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Toledo +32.5 (-112) | Ohio State -32.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Toledo at Ohio State picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 45, Toledo 17

Money line

Ohio State (-5000) is just too heavily favored to seriously consider betting the money line. While the Buckeyes haven’t lost to a MAC team since the league’s inception in 1946, going 28-0 SU, the Rockets have put a scare into Ohio State before. In the most recent meeting in 2011, Ohio State won just 27-22 in Columbus.

AVOID.

Against the spread

This is the College Football Playoff for a team like TOLEDO +32.5 (-112). The Rockets have looked good in all facets of the game, but they have faced two tomato cans so far.

Ohio State is battle-tested already this season, winning a marquee game against Notre Dame. It looked rather disinterested against Arkansas State last week, and it likely won’t be terribly fired up to face a MAC team. The Buckeyes are likely looking ahead to their Big Ten opener against Wisconsin next Saturday night.

The Buckeyes will win, but the Rockets should be able to keep it within 4 TDs.

Over/Under

The OVER 61.5 (-112) is the lean here, but it is going to be really, really close. My preference would be to avoid the total, and just play the side. However, if you are dead set on hitting the total, Over is worth playing lightly.

All the trends for Toledo point to the Over as its 11-5 in the Rockets’ last 16 road games and 11-5 in their last 16 outside of the conference, too.

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