There are two simple things that every team needs in order to win a national championship in college basketball.
March Madness is chaos and predictions are challenging, but all of the teams that have cut down the nets at the end of the tournament typically have these two things in common: They’re really good on offense and they’re really good on defense.
Among the last twenty title winners, per KenPom ratings, all but one had a top-25 adjusted offensive efficiency heading into the tournament. Meanwhile, none of the teams that have won the tourney have ranked outside the top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency.
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That concept isn’t particularly complicated or hard to understand! So why don’t we use history to apply these lessons to the upcoming tournament?
These are the only teams that meet the aforementioned qualifications.