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The Arizona Wildcats (3-1, 1-0 Big 12) welcome the Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1, 2-0) to Arizona Stadium Saturday for a Big 12 showdown. Kickoff is set for 11 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas Tech vs. Arizona odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Wildcats started the season with an explosive 61-39 win over New Mexico. They won their first 2 games then lost 31-7 on the road to No. 20 Kansas State, closing as a 7-point underdog. Arizona beat the No. 18 Utah Utes 23-10 on the road in Week 5. It is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 0-2 ATS at home but has closed as a 28-point favorite or greater in both home games.
The Red Raiders kicked their season off with a 52-51 overtime win over Abilene Christian, closing as a 31.5-point favorite. They lost the week after to Washington State but have rallied off 3 wins since and are coming off a 44-41 win over the Cincinnati Bearcats. Texas Tech is 2-2-1 ATS on the season and 0-1 ATS on the road. It is led by QB Behren Morton, who has 14 touchdowns on the season.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Texas Tech at Arizona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas Tech +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Arizona -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas Tech +6.5 (-110) | Arizona -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Texas Tech at Arizona picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona 31, Texas Tech 28
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great play here. Arizona isn’t a proven side and is far too expensive of a favorite to play. Texas Tech lost its lone road game of the season, so it isn’t worth a play here either.
Against the spread
BET TEXAS TECH +6.5 (-110).
The Wildcats, who have been ranked at times this season, were 0-3 coming into a matchup with Utah, a game which QB Cam Rising was absent in. That win, while over a conference foe, wasn’t as impressive of a win and cover as expected without Rising. Arizona is 0-2 ATS at home, and its QB Noah Fifita has just 7 passing touchdowns and 4 interceptions.
The Red Raiders, on the other hand, should put up enough points to keep things close, having scored 140 or more in their last 3 games. Texas Tech is 2-0-1 (1 draw) ATS in its last 3 home games. Considering those trends, take TEXAS TECH +6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 63.5 (-110).
The Wildcats offense hasn’t been as explosive as expected. They have scored 23 or fewer in 3 straight games. Their defense has impressed though, allowing 10 or fewer in 2 of their last 3, including holding the Utes to just 10 in their Week 5 battle.
The Red Raiders have scored 30 or fewer in 2 of their last 4 and have allowed 22 or fewer in 2 of their last 3. They have alternated going Over and Under in their last 5 and are primed to go Under. Back UNDER 63.5 (-110).
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