The Texas Rangers (55-95) and New York Yankees (84-67) tangle Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Dane Dunning is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. He is 5-8 with a 4.28 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 107 1/3 IP spanning 24 games (22 starts).
- Rejoins the starting rotation after making two relief appearances and hasn’t started a game since Aug. 20. Allowed 10 base runners and 5 runs over 4 2/3 IP at the Boston Red Sox.
- Owns a 6.65 ERA and 1.73 WHIP on the road.
- Has been undone by a .344 BABIP.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 5-6 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 144 IP over 27 starts.
- Struck out a season-high 12 batters while allowing 1 run over 5 2/3 IP Thursday at the Baltimore Orioles. Owns a 15.1 K/9 over his last three starts.
- Has posted a 3.25 ERA and 1.13 WHIP at Yankee Stadium.
Rangers at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Rangers +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rangers +1.5 (+105) | Yankees -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Rangers 5, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
New York defeated Texas 4-3 in Monday’s series opener and sent the Rangers to their fifth loss in their last six games. A slugging Texas offense owns a .541 OPS over that stretch.
The Yankees have gone just 8-15 over their last 23 games with a 4.58 team ERA over that stretch. Over their last 10 games, though, the Bronx Bombers hit 24 home runs and logged a .814 OPS.
There is some downside to relying much on Dunning, but there is some expected-ERA lean toward him and away from Montgomery. The Yankees lefty threw 99 pitches in his last outing. His next-time-out starts after 95-plus pitches are not too sharp.
The price here is attractive enough to warrant a play on TEXAS (+230).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line. Shoot for the full outright reward for the best leverage.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Texas offense is woeful and that’s been due, in large part, to a terrible .651 road OPS. But the Rangers have posted a solid .728 OPS over their last 15 games away from Arlington.
Add to that — and the Yankees’ offense of late — unimpressive analytics on both bullpens: take the OVER 8.5 (-102).
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