The Los Angeles Dodgers look to win the World Series against the Tampa Bay Rays in Tuesday’s Game 6 at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET. Since the Dodgers had the better regular-season record, they are the official home team and will be batting in the bottom of the inning in Game 6 and 7 (if necessary).
Below, we analyze the Rays-Dodgers World Series Game 6 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Series: Dodgers lead 3-2.
Rays vs. Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers
- LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin
Snell (regular season): 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 50 IP across 11 starts.
- 2020 postseason: 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA, 18 H, 28 K and 14 BB in 24 1/3 IP over 5 starts.
- Snell battled for 4 2/3 IP in Tampa Bay’s Game 2 win. He struck out 9 batters, walked 4 and allowed just 2 hits but gave up a 2-run home run to Dodgers OF Chris Taylor in the fifth inning.
Gonsolin (regular season): 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 46 2/3 IP across 9 games (8 starts).
- 2020 postseason: 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA, 6 H, 9 K and 7 BB in 7 2/3 IP over 3 games (2 starts).
- Gonsolin was Game 2’s losing pitcher because of a first-inning solo home run hit by Rays 2B Brandon Lowe, which was Gonsolin’s only run allowed. He was on a short leash as he was pulled after 1 1/3 IP with 1 hit, 1 strikeout and 1 walk.
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Rays vs. Dodgers: Key injuries
None.
Rays vs. Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Rays 7, Dodgers 4
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers (-129) turned to LHP Clayton Kershaw in Game 5 to take control of the World Series and he delivered. Kershaw threw 5 2/3 frames, while striking out 6 and giving up only two runs to earn his second win of the World Series (Game 1).
The Rays (+115) need 2018 Cy Young Snell to keep their season alive and their bullpen to continue to be more reliable. Expect to see a similar pitcher sequence for the Dodgers as Game 2, going to the bullpen early and often. In Game 2, L.A. pulled Gonsolin after 1 1/3 innings and used seven pitchers.
Tampa Bay had 23 fewer strikes by contact with four fewer batters faced in Game 2. How I interpret that is the Rays hitters are better locating pitches from L.A.’s bullpen than the Dodgers are versus Tampa Bay relievers.
Also, we’ve seen the Dodgers make fielding mistakes, and just putting the ball in play increases the probability of errors. L.A. has four errors in this series and Tampa Bay hasn’t committed one.
I’ll take the RAYS (+115) to send the World Series to Game 7 because of their sturdier bullpen and the starting pitching matchup.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the listed run line price because the insurance is too expensive.
- Rays +1.5 (-189)
- Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
Just to get a little extra value, and keeping in mind only Game 4 was decided by a single run, I’ll PUT A 1/4 UNIT ON RAYS -1.5 (+170) on the alternate run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
Five of the six World Series games have gone Over the total and it’s as simple as the hitting is more locked in than the pitching. I expect this trend to continue with Game 6 going OVER 8 (-115). The market is hitting the Over with 64% of the money wagered on the Over, according to Pregame.com, and I say we side with the market here.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- World Series Prop Bet Payday: 5 prop bet predictions for Game 6
- World Series Prop Bet Payday: 5 Tampa Bay Rays prop bet predictions for Game 6
- World Series Prop Bet Payday: 5 Los Angeles Dodgers prop bet predictions for Game 6
- Betting 101: How to bet on 2020 World Series
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