The Tampa Bay Rays (61-53) and New York Yankees (72-44) tussle in a 7:05 p.m. ET game at Yankee Stadium Tuesday. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 7-4
Tampa Bay is just 10-12 since the All-Star break, but the Rays blanked New York 4-0 in Monday’s series opener. Tampa has now won 3 straight, allowing just 3 combined runs along the way.
The Yankees are back in the Bronx after a 2-7 road trip that saw the club bat just .210/.293/.324 (.617 OPS). However, New York’s troubles run far deeper than 1 road trip. The Yanks are 10 games under-.500 (11-21) since July 9.
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Rays at Yankees projected starters
LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Springs (4-3, 2.56 ERA) has appeared in 23 games while making 15 starts. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.
- The 29-year-old who has appeared in 125 career games only made 2 starts prior to 2022
- Has held opposing batters to a .497 OPS in high-leverage situations
Cortes (9-3, 2.67 ERA) has registered a 1.00 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 118 IP in 21 starts.
- Has benefited from a .253 batting average on balls in play
- Has a 2.15 ERA in his last 5 starts at home and since 2020 he’s clocked a 2.45 ERA, 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium
- Owns a 2.96 ERA in his last 5 starts against Tampa Bay
Rays at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Rays 4
Money line
Heading into this series, the Yankees had posted an .839 OPS at home since July 9. The Rays had a 2nd-half OPS of .669.
Springs’ numbers have been highly influenced by some generous batting-average-on-ball-in-play figures in clutch situations. In high-leverage situations, he’s benefited from a .175 BABIP. With runners in scoring position, he’s logged a .184 BABIP.
New York’s .789 OPS versus left-handers ranks 2nd in MLB.
BACK THE YANKEES (-180).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS. Too many questions about an underperforming-of-late Yankees bullpen.
Over/Under
The Under is 7-3 across the last 10 Tampa-New York meetings. But the Under is undercut in this one by the ERA-vs.-expected-ERA figures for both starters. Both have gotten some generous rates around the margins and figure to be overrated in their impact.
PASS.
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