The Tampa Bay Rays (60-53) and New York Yankees (72-43) swing into a 3-game AL East series Monday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 7-3 and is 5-1 over its last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay arrives in New York after a brief 3-game home stand. The Rays went 2-1 against the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend but they are just 9-12 since the All-Star break.
The Yankees are back in the Bronx after a 2-7 road trip that saw the club bat just .210/.293/.324 (.617 OPS). However, New York’s troubles run far deeper than one road trip. The Yanks are just 11-20 since July 9.
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Rays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Jalen Beeks vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Beeks (2-1, 2.35 ERA) makes his 7th start and 30th appearance. He’s recorded a 1.20 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 IP.
- Will serve as the opener before LHP Ryan Yarbrough (5.08 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) enters the game for bulk innings.
- Has allowed 1 run over 6 IP in 5 appearances since returning from the 15-day injured list July 30.
- Current Yankees own a .920 OPS against him albeit in a small sample.
Cole (9-4, 3.38 ERA) has notched a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 138 1/3 IP across 23 starts.
- Pitched 7-scoreless innings in his last game Tuesday at the Seattle Mariners but has still registered a 4.20 ERA over his last 7 starts.
- Owns a 4.25 ERA over his last 5 starts vs. Tampa Bay.
- Has a 2.89 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020.
Rays at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-108) | Yankees -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Rays 2
Money line
Too much juice to overcome: PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
Since July 9, the Yanks have posted an .839 OPS at home and a .693 mark on the road.
PEG NEW YORK -1.5 (-112) as perhaps the best thing on the board for a relatively unattractive betting game.
Over/Under
The Under is 6-3 across the last 9 Tampa-New York meetings. The Under is a lean with the forecast of a crosswind hindering fly balls to the short porch in Yankee Stadium’s right field and on a cooled-off, low-humidity night in the Bronx combined with a well-rested back end of the Rays bullpen.
However, the current price is too steep. Back the Under 7.5 if it gets to -115 or better. Otherwise, STEER CLEAR.
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